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☆ Oil prices advance as investors reassess U.S. inventories data
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-28 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Global oil prices edged up on Thursday, recovering from two consecutive sessions of decline, as investors reassessed the latest U.S. crude oil and gasoline inventories data and returned to buying mode. In the prior session, oil prices were under pressure after U.S. crude oil and gasoline inventories rose unexpectedly last week driven by a rise in crude imports and sluggish gasoline demand, according the Energy Information Administration data. "We... expect U.S. inventories to rise less than normal in reflection of a global oil market in a slight deficit. This will likely hand support to the Brent crude oil price going forward," Bjarne Schieldrop, chief commodities analyst at SEB Research, said in a note. Lower interest rates support oil demand.

Persons: Brent, Bjarne Schieldrop Organizations: Brent, . West Texas, Energy, Administration, American Petroleum Institute, SEB Research, U.S . Federal Reserve, Fed, European Central Bank, JPMorgan Locations: Midland , Texas

Oil rigs are seen at Vaca Muerta shale oil and gas drilling, in the Patagonian province of Neuquen, Argentina January 21, 2019. U.S. job growth rose by 336,000 in September according to Labor Department statistics, far exceeding economists' forecasts of a 170,000 rise. The sentiment of the statistics is mixed for oil prices. A strong U.S. dollar is typically negative for oil demand, making the commodity relatively more expensive for holders of other currencies. "Fear for the health of the global economy and thus oil demand going forward is at the heart of the sell-off," SEB analyst Bjarne Schieldrop said.

Persons: Agustin Marcarian, Baker Hughes, Brent, WTI, SEB, Bjarne Schieldrop, Stephanie Kelly, Robert Harvey, Sudarshan, William Maclean, Sharon Singleton, Louise Heavens, David Gregorio, Rod Nickel Organizations: REUTERS, YORK, . West Texas, Labor Department statistics, ING, Companies, Day, Xinhua, U.S . Commodity Futures Trading Commission, Thomson Locations: Vaca, Patagonian, Neuquen, Argentina, Saudi Arabia, Russia, gasoil, U.S, New York, London, Singapore

☆ Oil prices hold steady, Russia rolls back diesel export ban
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-06 | by ( Robert Harvey | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Oil rigs are seen at Vaca Muerta shale oil and gas drilling, in the Patagonian province of Neuquen, Argentina January 21, 2019. REUTERS/Agustin Marcarian/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsLONDON, Oct 6 (Reuters) - Oil prices were stable but on course for a week-on-week loss, as demand fears due to macroeconomic headwinds were compounded by another partial lifting of Russia's fuel export ban. Almost three quarters of Russia's 35 million tonnes of diesel exports were delivered via pipeline in 2022. "Fear for the health of the global economy and thus oil demand going forward is at the heart of the sell-off," SEB analyst Bjarne Schieldrop said. The German economy is expected to contract by 0.4% in 2023 because of high inflation and energy prices, government sources told Reuters.

Persons: Agustin Marcarian, Brent, SEB, Bjarne Schieldrop, Craig Erlam, Isabel Schnabel, Robert Harvey, Sudarshan, William Maclean, Sharon Singleton Organizations: REUTERS, U.S, West Texas, Russia, Investors, Fed, European Central Bank, ECB, Day, Xinhua, Thomson Locations: Vaca, Patagonian, Neuquen, Argentina, gasoil, Saudi Arabia, Russia, London, Singapore

☆ Oil prices rise, but post biggest weekly fall since March
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-06 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Oil prices rose on Friday but remained posted their steepest weekly losses since March, after another partial lifting of Russia's fuel export ban compounded demand fears due to macroeconomic headwinds. On Friday, Brent futures settled up 51 cents at $84.58 per barrel. The sentiment of the statistics is mixed for oil prices. A strong U.S. dollar is typically negative for oil demand, making the commodity relatively more expensive for holders of other currencies. "Fear for the health of the global economy and thus oil demand going forward is at the heart of the sell-off," SEB analyst Bjarne Schieldrop said.

Persons: Brent, WTI, SEB, Bjarne Schieldrop, Baker Hughes Organizations: . West Texas, Labor Department statistics, ING, Companies, Day, Xinhua Locations: Red, Ras Behar, Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Russia, gasoil, U.S

☆ Analysis: Sizzling rally in US energy stocks has room to run, bulls say
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-21 | by ( David Randall | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Some believe a tight oil market and resilient U.S. growth will keep energy stocks rising for the rest of 2023. Bullish investors argue that energy stocks are still cheap by historical standards - and far less richly valued than other areas of the market. The energy sector currently trades at a forward price to earnings ratio of 12.2, well below its historical median forward P/E of 15.3, according to LSEG Datastream. Parts of the market appear skeptical energy stocks have much further to run. "That should result in a ... smoother ride for energy stocks than we’ve been accustomed to."

Persons: Bing Guan, LSEG, Charles Lemonides, Baker Hughes, Savita Subramanian, Brent, Bjarne Schieldrop, Rodney Clayton, we’ve, David Randall, Ira Iosebashvili, Marguerita Choy Organizations: Exxon, Mobil, REUTERS, Energy, West Texas, Federal, drillers, U.S . Energy, Administration, Global, Citi, Brent, SEB Research, Macquarie, Duff, Phelps Investment Management, Thomson Locations: Beaumont , Texas, U.S, Saudi Arabia, Russia, China

☆ Will oil hit $100? It already did in some markets
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-18 | by ( Alex Lawler | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

LONDON, Sept 18 (Reuters) - With oil investors and traders focused on an oil-price rally that has come close to $100 a barrel, some grades of crude oil are already trading above that milestone, highlighting an expectation of tight supply. The outright price of Nigerian crude Qua Iboe surpassed $100 a barrel on Monday, according to LSEG data . "The overall situation is that Saudi Arabia and Russia are in solid control of the oil market," Schieldrop said. Brent oil futures, a global benchmark , traded as high as $94.89 on Monday and the related benchmark used for trading much of the world's physical cargoes, called dated Brent , stood just above $96 according to LSEG. Schieldrop said dated Brent is highly likely to move above $100 as "only noise is needed to bring it above."

Persons: Bjarne Schieldrop, Schieldrop, Brent, Giovanni Staunovo, Alex Lawler, David Evans Organizations: LSEG, UBS, Thomson Locations: Saudi Arabia, Russia, OPEC, Swiss

Distillate inventories, which include diesel and heating oil, were by late August about 15% below the five-year average for this time of year, according to the Energy Information Administration. "We are living barrel to barrel and there is just no room for errors in the system," Price Futures Group analyst Phil Flynn said. Refiners have failed to build sizable stocks ahead of the seasonal surge in demand due to tight supplies of medium and heavy crude oil grades that are distillate-rich. Seasonal overhauls could take out around 2 million bpd of the country's 18.1 million bpd refining capacity, he said. "Even with soft demand, diesel inventories are stubbornly low, and cracks have rallied in search of supply or demand-side relief before winter," the analysts said.

Persons: Bing Guan, Phil Flynn, Refiners, Bjarne Schieldrop, SEB, Robert Yawger, Shariq Khan, Laura Sanicola, Marguerita Choy Organizations: Angeles Refinery, California Air Resources Board, Energy Information Administration, Futures, Organization Petroleum Exporting, Saudi, Bank of America, Thomson Locations: Angeles, California, Carson , California, U.S, Europe, OPEC, Ukraine, Garyville , Louisiana

☆ Oil Prices Expected to Jump on Conflict in Russia
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-24 | by ( ) www.wsj.com time to read: 1 min

Oil traders and analysts are bracing for higher energy prices on Monday. "Internal turmoil is a risk for supply to global markets, if it turns out to be a proper civil war it would of course hamper oil supply," said Bjarne Schieldrop, chief commodities analyst at Nordic bank SEB.

Persons: Bjarne Schieldrop

☆ Oil rises on Saudi plan to deepen output cuts from July
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-05 | by ( Noah Browning | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

[1/2] General view of Saudi Aramco's Ras Tanura oil refinery and oil terminal in Saudi Arabia May 21, 2018. Both contracts extended gains of more than 2% on Friday after the Saudi energy ministry said the kingdom's output would drop to 9 million bpd in July from about 10 million bpd in May. Consultancy Rystad Energy said the additional Saudi cut is likely to deepen the market deficit to more than 3 million bpd in July, which could push prices higher in the coming weeks. "The immediate market impact of this Saudi cut is likely lower, as drawing inventories takes time, and the market likely already put some meaningful probability on a cut today," the bank's analysts added. In contrast, the United Arab Emirates (UAE) was allowed to raise output targets by 200,000 bpd to 3.22 million bpd to reflect its larger production capacity.

Persons: Ahmed Jadallah, Brent, WTI, keener, Suvro Sarkar, Bjarne Schieldrop, Goldman Sachs, Noah Browning, Florence Tan, Emily Chow, David Goodman Organizations: REUTERS, Saudi, Brent, . West Texas, Saudi Arabia's, Organization of, Petroleum, DBS Bank, OPEC, Rystad Energy, United Arab Emirates, Thomson Locations: Saudi, Saudi Arabia, OPEC, Arabia, Russia, Nigeria, Angola, UAE

"The new cuts are underpinning that the OPEC+ group is intact and that Russia is still an integral and important part of the group," SEB analyst Bjarne Schieldrop said. Higher prices will likely spell more income for Moscow to fund its expensive war in Ukraine, upsetting Saudi-U.S. relations further, Schieldrop said. "The U.S. administration may also argue that higher oil prices will counter its efforts to put out the inflation fire," he added. [1/2] An OPEC flag is seen on the day of OPEC+ meeting in Vienna in Vienna, Austria October 5, 2022. "Producing countries apparently want to see oil prices rise to $90-$100/bbl, but higher oil prices also mean higher risk of economic downturn and sluggish demand," he added.

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